Octez · mainnet · activation

Injection anchor level 15,496,504 (cycle 1391) at 2026-10-23 10:32 UTC · from the current head · observed

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A proposal injected there would activate at
16,478,689level
2026-12-30 15:30 UTC

The run is counted from the start of the Proposal period the proposal would be submitted in, not from the injection itself: a proposal is voted on over the whole period it lands in. The forecast assumes it passes every remaining vote.

Horizon?
1,008,000
blocks, 5 voting periods of 201,600
Earliest useful injection?
15,470,689
start of that Proposal period
Anchor's period?
Proposal
position 25,815 of 201,600, 175,784 blocks left
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The run, period by period

PeriodLevelsStartsEnds
Proposal15,470,689–15,672,2882026-10-21 15:00 UTC2026-11-04 15:30 UTC
Exploration15,672,289–15,873,8882026-11-04 15:30 UTC2026-11-18 15:30 UTC
Cooldown15,873,889–16,075,4882026-11-18 15:30 UTC2026-12-02 15:30 UTC
Promotion16,075,489–16,277,0882026-12-02 15:30 UTC2026-12-16 15:30 UTC
Adoption16,277,089–16,478,6882026-12-16 15:30 UTC2026-12-30 15:30 UTC
Activation16,478,6892026-12-30 15:30 UTC—
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Scenarios

ScenarioAvg blockActivationDays out
best case6.0000 s2026-12-30 15:30 UTC68.2
empirical (head)6.0516 s2026-12-31 05:35 UTC68.8
empirical (prev-act)6.0796 s2026-12-31 13:13 UTC69.1
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Drift windows

WindowLevelsBlocksObserved rounds
current head (level 15496504)14,488,505–15,496,5041,008,000round 1: 4,721, round 2: 339, round 3: 44, round 4: 7
previous activation (PsUshuai9QapM5TGj1JpuVGkdxz5GykdnEvS6Rh8SUVrARvZLCY, level 13857889)12,849,890–13,857,8891,008,000round 1: 8,154, round 2: 249, round 3: 22, round 4: 7

Each window has the length of the horizon and ends at the anchor shown. "Assume the next N blocks behave like these N blocks."